Nykobing 0-2 Naestved — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.99
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.61
6+ Goals
7%
15.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 32% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.4pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.1pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.1pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nykobing EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Naestved EU Bookmakers 46%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
0.49/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.20
-63% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
335 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nykobing
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Naestved
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.44 xG 1.57
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
261 Passes 294
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 17
10 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.10.2024 Naestved Naestved 1-0 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
12.11.2022 Nykobing Nykobing 1-1 HT 0-0 Naestved Naestved DAN1
21.08.2022 Naestved Naestved 3-0 HT 2-0 Nykobing Nykobing DAN1
24.05.2021 Naestved Naestved 1-1 HT 1-0 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
01.11.2020 Nykobing Nykobing 3-2 HT 0-1 Naestved Naestved DAN2
21.06.2020 Nykobing Nykobing 2-1 HT 2-0 Naestved Naestved DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nykobing
0-2
AWAY Naestved
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nykobing vs Naestved
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naestved beat Nykobing 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 32% / 38% — and on the day Naestved made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Nykobing had 59% of the ball to Naestved's 41%, shots finished 11-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nykobing and 1.50 for Naestved.

What was the final score of Nykobing vs Naestved?

Nykobing 0-2 Naestved in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nykobing vs Naestved?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naestved win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nykobing 30%, draw 32%, Naestved 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naestved), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Naestved) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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