Fremad Amager 2-3 Hellerup IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
27%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.69
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.99
6+ Goals
9%
18.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.69 — our 33% vs market 30.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
63%
-15.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.8pp
27%
Away Win
15%
+12.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.4pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fremad Amager EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Hellerup IK EU Bookmakers 18%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.53/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.57
-22% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
410 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fremad Amager
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Hellerup IK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2024 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 0-2 HT 0-0 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN2
15.06.2024 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 1-0 HT 0-0 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN2
26.04.2024 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 3-0 HT 0-0 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
27.10.2023 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 3-1 HT 0-0 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN2
08.08.2023 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 2-1 HT 0-0 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAK
04.08.2023 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 2-1 HT 1-1 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fremad Amager
2-3
AWAY Hellerup IK
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Fremad Amager vs Hellerup IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hellerup IK squeezed past Fremad Amager 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Fremad Amager at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fremad Amager had 65% of the ball to Hellerup IK's 35%, shots finished 18-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fremad Amager and 1.17 for Hellerup IK.

What was the final score of Fremad Amager vs Hellerup IK?

Fremad Amager 2-3 Hellerup IK in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fremad Amager vs Hellerup IK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fremad Amager win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fremad Amager 48%, draw 26%, Hellerup IK 27%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fremad Amager) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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