Clermont 1-1 Amiens SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.89
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.89
6+ Goals
8%
17.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 31% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.57
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
15%
4.44
X/2
12%
8.26
X/X
14%
4.51
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
11%
6.69
2/X
6%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-5.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Clermont EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Amiens SC EU Bookmakers 26%
-6% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +4%
1.49/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.36
-24% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
22.3 Crosses 17.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Clermont
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Amiens SC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.27 xG 0.80
49% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
361 Passes 280
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2024 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Clermont Clermont FR2
14.04.2021 Clermont Clermont 3-0 HT 1-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
21.11.2020 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-1 HT 1-0 Clermont Clermont FR2
31.03.2017 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Clermont Clermont FR2
29.10.2016 Clermont Clermont 1-0 HT 0-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
09.08.2016 Clermont Clermont 2-1 HT 1-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FRLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Clermont
1-1
AWAY Amiens SC
1.15 xG 1.62
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
389 Passes 321
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 31
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Clermont vs Amiens SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Clermont and Amiens SC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Clermont at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Clermont had 54% of the ball to Amiens SC's 46%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.15 to 1.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Clermont had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Clermont and 0.50 for Amiens SC.

What was the final score of Clermont vs Amiens SC?

Clermont 1-1 Amiens SC in the France - Ligue 2 on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Clermont vs Amiens SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Clermont win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Clermont 45%, draw 27%, Amiens SC 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Clermont), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Clermont) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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