Pau 1-0 Annecy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 28 Mar 2025

Pau
1-0 HT 0-0
Annecy
📅28/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.09
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.64
6+ Goals
11%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 28% vs market 26.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.92
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
10%
12.85
X/1
11%
4.91
X/2
8%
7.28
X/X
11%
4.51
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
12%
5.39
2/X
6%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+0.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pau EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Annecy EU Bookmakers 31%
+8% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +21%
1.76/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.33
+26% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
23.6 Crosses 13.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pau
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Annecy
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.32 xG 1.06
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
374 Passes 260
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
17 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.11.2024 Annecy Annecy 2-0 HT 1-0 Pau Pau FR2
27.01.2024 Annecy Annecy 0-0 HT 0-0 Pau Pau FR2
23.09.2023 Pau Pau 0-3 HT 0-2 Annecy Annecy FR2
28.01.2023 Pau Pau 2-2 HT 0-2 Annecy Annecy FR2
15.10.2022 Annecy Annecy 0-2 HT 0-1 Pau Pau FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pau
1-0
AWAY Annecy
0.71 xG 0.74
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
327 Passes 321
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
11 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pau vs Annecy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pau edged past Annecy 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pau as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Pau had 51% of the ball to Annecy's 49%, shots finished 5-7, expected goals 0.71 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Annecy led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Pau and 1.40 for Annecy.

What was the final score of Pau vs Annecy?

Pau 1-0 Annecy in the France - Ligue 2 on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pau vs Annecy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pau win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Pau 46%, draw 27%, Annecy 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pau), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pau) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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