Martigues 2-0 Ajaccio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 28 Mar 2025

Martigues
2-0 HT 2-0
Ajaccio
📅28/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Martigues vs Ajaccio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.93
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.84
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
7%
14.45
X/1
11%
6.14
X/2
18%
5.03
X/X
11%
3.82
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
16%
3.56
2/X
9%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.2pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Martigues v Ajaccio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Martigues EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajaccio EU Bookmakers 43%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -12%
0.88/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.94
-22% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +35%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 79%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
16.4 Crosses 15.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Martigues vs Ajaccio Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Martigues
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Ajaccio
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3 Total Shots 3
1 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
05.10.2024 Ajaccio Ajaccio 1-1 HT 1-1 Martigues Martigues FR2
16.02.2002 Ajaccio Ajaccio 1-0 HT 1-0 Martigues Martigues FR2
05.10.2001 Martigues Martigues 0-1 HT 0-1 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
11.05.2001 Ajaccio Ajaccio 1-0 HT 0-0 Martigues Martigues FR2
11.11.2000 Martigues Martigues 2-1 HT 0-1 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2

Martigues 2-0 Ajaccio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Martigues
2-0
AWAY Ajaccio
1.03 xG 1.46
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 10
327 Passes 256
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Martigues vs Ajaccio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Martigues got the better of Ajaccio 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Martigues made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Martigues had 54% of the ball to Ajaccio's 46%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 1.03 to 1.46 — the balance of chances actually favoured Ajaccio.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ajaccio led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Martigues and 1.00 for Ajaccio.

What was the final score of Martigues vs Ajaccio?

Martigues 2-0 Ajaccio in the France - Ligue 2 on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Martigues vs Ajaccio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ajaccio win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Martigues 33%, draw 28%, Ajaccio 40%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ajaccio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ajaccio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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