Talanta 2-0 Sofapaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.46
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
34%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
Over 2.5
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
26%
+9.2pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.6pp
34%
Away Win
46%
-11.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.0pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Talanta EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Sofapaka EU Bookmakers 49%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.61/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-35% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -17%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
218 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Talanta
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Sofapaka
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
14.09.2024 Sofapaka Sofapaka 0-1 HT 0-0 Talanta KEN
04.11.2023 Sofapaka Sofapaka 0-3 HT 0-0 Talanta KEN
03.04.2022 Talanta 0-0 HT 0-0 Sofapaka Sofapaka KEN2
16.03.2022 Sofapaka Sofapaka 1-2 HT 1-1 Talanta KEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Talanta
2-0
AWAY Sofapaka
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Talanta vs Sofapaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Talanta beat Sofapaka 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Talanta made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Talanta had 38% of the ball to Sofapaka's 62%, shots finished 12-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Talanta had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Talanta and 0.25 for Sofapaka.

What was the final score of Talanta vs Sofapaka?

Talanta 2-0 Sofapaka in the Kenya - Premier League on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Talanta vs Sofapaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Talanta win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Talanta 35%, draw 31%, Sofapaka 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Talanta), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Talanta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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