America de Cali 3-0 Boyaca Chico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒04:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.3
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.33
No
62%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
72%
-12.9pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.6pp
17%
Away Win
9%
+7.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
39%
-0.7pp
62%
BTTS No
61%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Boyaca Chico EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +2%
1.59/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.17
+3% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -19%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
384 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 73%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.6
16.8 Crosses 11.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America de Cali
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Boyaca Chico
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.06 xG 1.08
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
268 Passes 302
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.03.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 3-2 HT 1-1 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
17.09.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 5-0 HT 3-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
18.06.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 3-2 HT 1-1 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
22.05.2023 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 1-1 HT 1-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
20.04.2023 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 1-1 HT 0-1 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
13.02.2021 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 1-2 HT 1-1 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America de Cali
3-0
AWAY Boyaca Chico
2.02 xG 0.34
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
367 Passes 173
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 9
11 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs Boyaca Chico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali cruised past Boyaca Chico 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had America de Cali as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, America de Cali had 65% of the ball to Boyaca Chico's 35%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.02 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, America de Cali had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for America de Cali and 1.17 for Boyaca Chico.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs Boyaca Chico?

America de Cali 3-0 Boyaca Chico in the Colombia - Primera on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Boyaca Chico?

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 59%, draw 24%, Boyaca Chico 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America de Cali), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (America de Cali) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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