Zamalek 2-1 Ceramica Cleopatra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Cup, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.9pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.3pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamalek EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -57% / -57%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamalek
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.12 xG 0.90
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
398 Passes 300
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.12.2024 Zamalek Zamalek 1-1 HT 1-1 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
29.06.2024 Zamalek Zamalek 4-2 HT 2-1 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
14.06.2024 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 1-2 HT 1-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
26.04.2023 Zamalek Zamalek 1-0 HT 1-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
23.10.2022 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 0-2 HT 0-1 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
28.06.2022 Zamalek Zamalek 3-2 HT 2-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamalek
2-1
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
2.54 xG 0.49
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
311 Passes 475
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zamalek vs Ceramica Cleopatra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamalek edged past Ceramica Cleopatra 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zamalek as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zamalek had 42% of the ball to Ceramica Cleopatra's 58%, shots finished 12-4, expected goals 2.54 to 0.49 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Zamalek's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zamalek had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Zamalek and 1.00 for Ceramica Cleopatra.

What was the final score of Zamalek vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

Zamalek 2-1 Ceramica Cleopatra in the Egypt - Cup on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamalek vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zamalek win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Zamalek 44%, draw 28%, Ceramica Cleopatra 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zamalek) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zamalek) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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