Alianza Atletico 2-4 Cusco FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-10.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+8.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.1pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Atletico EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 22%
+2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -6%
1.41/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.33
-7% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
18.3 Crosses 15.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Atletico
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cusco FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.64 xG 1.47
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
267 Passes 264
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.08.2024 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 1-1 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
07.03.2024 Cusco FC Cusco FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
22.07.2023 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 2-0 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
20.02.2023 Cusco FC Cusco FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
08.08.2021 Cusco FC Cusco FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
26.10.2017 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 3-2 HT 2-2 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Atletico
2-4
AWAY Cusco FC
1.43 xG 3.04
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
311 Passes 269
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 28
34 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alianza Atletico vs Cusco FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cusco FC saw off Alianza Atletico 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Alianza Atletico at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Alianza Atletico had 53% of the ball to Cusco FC's 47%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 1.43 to 3.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cusco FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Alianza Atletico and 1.67 for Cusco FC.

What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs Cusco FC?

Alianza Atletico 2-4 Cusco FC in the Peru - Premier League on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Atletico vs Cusco FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Alianza Atletico 43%, draw 30%, Cusco FC 27%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alianza Atletico) ✗ Under 2.5
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