Rudar Velenje 2-2 Bistrica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.1pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.7pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rudar Velenje EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Bistrica EU Bookmakers 42%
-22% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.91/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.86
-37% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +36%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
260 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rudar Velenje
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Bistrica
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Bistrica Bistrica 2-1 HT 0-0 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
06.11.2023 Bistrica Bistrica 5-1 HT 2-1 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
30.07.2023 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 0-0 HT 0-0 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
29.10.2022 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 2-1 HT 1-1 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
POST-MATCH Rudar Velenje vs Bistrica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rudar Velenje and Bistrica couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bistrica led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rudar Velenje and 2.00 for Bistrica.

What was the final score of Rudar Velenje vs Bistrica?

Rudar Velenje 2-2 Bistrica in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rudar Velenje vs Bistrica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bistrica win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Rudar Velenje 32%, draw 32%, Bistrica 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bistrica), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bistrica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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