Kampala City 5-0 Bright Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
18%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.81
No
58%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
74%
-13.7pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.0pp
18%
Away Win
7%
+10.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
32%
+10.3pp
58%
BTTS No
68%
-10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kampala City EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Bright Stars EU Bookmakers 9%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.53/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.41
+31% / +102% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +38%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kampala City
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Bright Stars
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2024 Bright Stars Bright Stars 0-1 HT 0-1 Kampala City Kampala City UGA
25.04.2024 Bright Stars Bright Stars 2-2 HT 1-1 Kampala City Kampala City UGA
02.11.2021 Bright Stars Bright Stars 1-1 HT 0-0 Kampala City Kampala City UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kampala City
5-0
AWAY Bright Stars
65% Ball Possession 35%
24 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kampala City vs Bright Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kampala City cruised past Bright Stars 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kampala City as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Kampala City had 65% of the ball to Bright Stars's 35%, shots finished 24-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kampala City had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kampala City and 1.00 for Bright Stars.

What was the final score of Kampala City vs Bright Stars?

Kampala City 5-0 Bright Stars in the Uganda - Premier League on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kampala City vs Bright Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kampala City win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Kampala City 60%, draw 22%, Bright Stars 18%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kampala City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kampala City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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