Wakiso Giants 0-1 UPDF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.9pp
34%
Draw
32%
+2.5pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.6pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wakiso Giants EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY UPDF EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.16/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.19
+16% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
301 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wakiso Giants
2W-0D-1L
AWAY UPDF
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
3 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2024 UPDF UPDF 1-0 HT 0-0 Wakiso Giants Wakiso Giants UGA
15.03.2022 UPDF UPDF 0-1 HT 0-0 Wakiso Giants Wakiso Giants UGA
11.12.2021 Wakiso Giants Wakiso Giants 1-0 HT 1-0 UPDF UPDF UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wakiso Giants
0-1
AWAY UPDF
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wakiso Giants vs UPDF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UPDF nicked a narrow win over Wakiso Giants 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 34% / 27%) promised a tight game; UPDF found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Wakiso Giants had 55% of the ball to UPDF's 45%, shots finished 12-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Wakiso Giants had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Wakiso Giants and 0.33 for UPDF.

What was the final score of Wakiso Giants vs UPDF?

Wakiso Giants 0-1 UPDF in the Uganda - Premier League on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wakiso Giants vs UPDF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wakiso Giants win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Wakiso Giants 39%, draw 34%, UPDF 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Wakiso Giants) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wakiso Giants) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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