Lugazi Municipal 0-1 Maroons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.4
No
63%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.4pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.0pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
38%
-0.3pp
63%
BTTS No
62%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugazi Municipal EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Maroons EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
1.00/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/0.34
-1% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
267 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugazi Municipal
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Maroons
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Maroons Maroons 1-0 HT 0-0 Lugazi Municipal UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugazi Municipal
0-1
AWAY Maroons
60% Ball Possession 40%
4 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lugazi Municipal vs Maroons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maroons squeezed past Lugazi Municipal 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 33% / 27%) promised a tight game; Maroons found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lugazi Municipal had 60% of the ball to Maroons's 40%, shots finished 4-15.

What was the final score of Lugazi Municipal vs Maroons?

Lugazi Municipal 0-1 Maroons in the Uganda - Premier League on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugazi Municipal vs Maroons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugazi Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lugazi Municipal 40%, draw 33%, Maroons 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lugazi Municipal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lugazi Municipal) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UGA More Uganda - Premier League
28 Mar 2025
16:00 Wakiso Giants vs UPDF Analysis →
19:00 Kampala City vs Bright Stars Analysis →