Sutton United 1-2 Rochdale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
54%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.18
Over
55%
1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
60%
1.64
No
40%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.98
2-3
40%
1.8
4-5
26%
2.85
6+
10%
8.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.37
1/2
6%
20.9
1/X
10%
15.25
X/1
7%
9.83
X/2
13%
4.32
X/X
7%
5.7
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
35%
2.09
2/X
6%
13.75
Value flag · 1/X at 15.25 — our 10% vs market 3.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Sutton United The Market 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Rochdale The Market 60%
Great Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Great
Great Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
1.37 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.78
1.07 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.76
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Average
Great Defensevs comparable teams Great
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
245 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sutton United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Rochdale
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.19 xG 1.25
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
136 Passes 283
61% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.08.2025 Rochdale Rochdale 1-0 HT 0-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
08.04.2025 Sutton United Sutton United 1-0 HT 0-0 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
09.11.2024 Rochdale Rochdale 2-1 HT 1-1 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
19.11.2022 Sutton United Sutton United 1-0 HT 1-0 Rochdale Rochdale İN2
05.03.2022 Sutton United Sutton United 3-0 HT 2-0 Rochdale Rochdale İN2
23.10.2021 Rochdale Rochdale 3-2 HT 1-0 Sutton United Sutton United İN2
REVIEW Sutton United vs Rochdale
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Rochdale came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Sutton United 2-1 away from home. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rochdale as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (60%) came home.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sutton United and 1.00 for Rochdale.

Sutton United vs Rochdale Result & Final Score

Sutton United 1-2 Rochdale in the England - National League on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sutton United vs Rochdale Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sutton United 23%, draw 23%, Rochdale 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rochdale), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rochdale) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
28 Mar 2026
18:00 Solihull Moors vs Altrincham Analysis →
18:00 Morecambe vs Aldershot Town Analysis →
18:00 Braintree Town vs Carlisle United Analysis →
18:00 Gateshead vs Yeovil Analysis →
18:00 Brackley Town vs Tamworth Analysis →
18:00 Eastleigh vs Forest Green Rovers Analysis →