Rochdale 2-1 Sutton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 9 Nov 2024

Rochdale
2-1 HT 1-1
Sutton United
📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Rochdale vs Sutton United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.86
Over 2.5
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.27
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.6
6+ Goals
8%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 35% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.86
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
11%
4.54
X/2
12%
6.81
X/X
16%
4.72
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
17%
5.02
2/X
5%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-8.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+6.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.4pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rochdale v Sutton United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rochdale EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutton United EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.40/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.38
-8% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
266 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 66%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

Rochdale vs Sutton United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rochdale
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Sutton United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.25 xG 1.19
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
376 Passes 182
75% Pass Accuracy 61%
23 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.11.2022 Sutton United Sutton United 1-0 HT 1-0 Rochdale Rochdale İN2
05.03.2022 Sutton United Sutton United 3-0 HT 2-0 Rochdale Rochdale İN2
23.10.2021 Rochdale Rochdale 3-2 HT 1-0 Sutton United Sutton United İN2

Rochdale 2-1 Sutton United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rochdale
2-1
AWAY Sutton United
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
2 Passes 0
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rochdale vs Sutton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rochdale nicked a narrow win over Sutton United 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Rochdale found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rochdale had 60% of the ball to Sutton United's 40%, shots finished 8-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sutton United led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rochdale and 2.00 for Sutton United.

What was the final score of Rochdale vs Sutton United?

Rochdale 2-1 Sutton United in the England - National League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rochdale vs Sutton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rochdale 38%, draw 28%, Sutton United 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rochdale) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rochdale) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
9 Nov 2024
15:30 York City vs Hartlepool United Analysis →
15:30 Aldershot Town vs Wealdstone Analysis →
18:00 Halifax Town vs Woking Analysis →
18:00 Maidenhead United vs Forest Green Rovers Analysis →
18:00 Solihull Moors vs Altrincham Analysis →
18:00 Southend United vs Yeovil Analysis →