Southend United 0-1 Yeovil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
29%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
3.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.82
6+ Goals
9%
16.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 35% vs market 27.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.09
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.15
X/1
19%
3.7
X/2
15%
10.35
X/X
15%
4.95
2/1
8%
24.85
2/2
8%
8.58
2/X
7%
17.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
58%
-15.1pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.2pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+10.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.4pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southend United EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeovil EU Bookmakers 21%
-13% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.69/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.22
-10% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
385 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southend United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Yeovil
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
14.10.2023 Yeovil Yeovil 2-0 HT 1-0 Southend United Southend United FAK
01.04.2023 Yeovil Yeovil 0-2 HT 0-1 Southend United Southend United İBSL
01.10.2022 Southend United Southend United 1-0 HT 1-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
26.03.2022 Yeovil Yeovil 2-0 HT 2-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
11.01.2022 Southend United Southend United 2-1 HT 1-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
04.11.2017 Yeovil Yeovil 1-0 HT 1-0 Southend United Southend United FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southend United
0-1
AWAY Yeovil
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 0
0 Passes 1
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Southend United vs Yeovil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yeovil squeezed past Southend United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Southend United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Southend United had 45% of the ball to Yeovil's 55%, shots finished 4-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Southend United and 1.00 for Yeovil.

What was the final score of Southend United vs Yeovil?

Southend United 0-1 Yeovil in the England - National League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southend United vs Yeovil?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Southend United 43%, draw 28%, Yeovil 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Southend United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Southend United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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