York City 5-3 Hartlepool United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.76
No
57%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.69
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 30% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.14
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.0
X/1
13%
3.94
X/2
8%
9.6
X/X
12%
5.39
2/1
8%
22.7
2/2
12%
7.34
2/X
6%
15.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.3pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York City EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 23%
-15% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.07/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.97
-39% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
468 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York City
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Hartlepool United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
27.01.2024 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-1 HT 0-0 York City York City İBSL
18.11.2023 York City York City 1-3 HT 0-2 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
17.07.2019 York City York City 2-1 HT 0-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United HAZ
16.04.2016 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-1 HT 1-1 York City York City İN2
15.08.2015 York City York City 1-2 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İN2
11.04.2015 York City York City 1-0 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME York City
5-3
AWAY Hartlepool United
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 19
9 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 7
3 Passes 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH York City vs Hartlepool United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York City got the better of Hartlepool United 5-3. Half-time: 2-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had York City as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, York City had 53% of the ball to Hartlepool United's 47%, shots finished 17-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartlepool United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for York City and 1.67 for Hartlepool United.

What was the final score of York City vs Hartlepool United?

York City 5-3 Hartlepool United in the England - National League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for York City vs Hartlepool United?

Before kick-off our model rated a York City win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split York City 49%, draw 26%, Hartlepool United 25%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (York City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (York City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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