Maidenhead United 1-4 Forest Green Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 9 Nov 2024

Maidenhead United
1-4 HT 0-2
Forest Green Rovers
📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Maidenhead United vs Forest Green Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.18
6+ Goals
9%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.87 — our 29% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.54
1/2
6%
24.45
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
7%
6.71
X/2 EV+ ✗
23%
4.93
X/X
12%
4.97
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
18%
2.95
2/X
7%
12.8
Value flag · X/2 at 4.93 — our 23% vs market 15.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
46%
Away Win
43%
+3.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.9pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Maidenhead United v Forest Green Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +16%
1.09/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/0.73
-17% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +73%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
288 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7

Maidenhead United 1-4 Forest Green Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidenhead United
1-4
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
46% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
1 Passes 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Maidenhead United vs Forest Green Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forest Green Rovers ran out comfortable winners over Maidenhead United 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Forest Green Rovers as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Maidenhead United had 46% of the ball to Forest Green Rovers's 54%, shots finished 4-15.

What was the final score of Maidenhead United vs Forest Green Rovers?

Maidenhead United 1-4 Forest Green Rovers in the England - National League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidenhead United vs Forest Green Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Forest Green Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Maidenhead United 28%, draw 26%, Forest Green Rovers 46%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
9 Nov 2024
15:30 York City vs Hartlepool United Analysis →
15:30 Aldershot Town vs Wealdstone Analysis →
18:00 Halifax Town vs Woking Analysis →
18:00 Solihull Moors vs Altrincham Analysis →
18:00 Rochdale vs Sutton United Analysis →
18:00 Southend United vs Yeovil Analysis →