Aldershot Town 0-2 Wealdstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.68
No
56%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.39
6+ Goals
8%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 29% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.86
1/2
5%
33.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
14%
4.65
X/2
11%
6.74
X/X
13%
4.93
2/1
5%
24.45
2/2
14%
4.8
2/X
8%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.2pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.63/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.73
+8% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aldershot Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Wealdstone
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.01.2024 Wealdstone Wealdstone 3-3 HT 2-2 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
26.08.2023 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 3-1 HT 1-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
18.04.2023 Wealdstone Wealdstone 0-1 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
01.10.2022 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
15.05.2022 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-3 HT 1-1 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
18.09.2021 Wealdstone Wealdstone 2-2 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aldershot Town
0-2
AWAY Wealdstone
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aldershot Town vs Wealdstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wealdstone saw off Aldershot Town 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Aldershot Town at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Aldershot Town had 49% of the ball to Wealdstone's 51%, shots finished 9-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Aldershot Town and 1.83 for Wealdstone.

What was the final score of Aldershot Town vs Wealdstone?

Aldershot Town 0-2 Wealdstone in the England - National League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aldershot Town vs Wealdstone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aldershot Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Aldershot Town 43%, draw 26%, Wealdstone 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aldershot Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aldershot Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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