Almagro 2-0 Deportivo Moron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.5
Draw
28%
2.63
Away
48%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
70%
Over
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.6
No
63%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1
46%
2-3
39%
4-5
10%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
11%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
24%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 70%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
24%
Home Win
26%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
35%
-6.5pp
48%
Away Win
40%
+8.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
34%
+3.1pp
63%
BTTS No
66%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almagro The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Moron The Market 43%
-4% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.55/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.85
-43% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
241 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almagro
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Moron
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
30.06.2024 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 0-0 HT 0-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
10.02.2024 Almagro Almagro 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
10.06.2023 Almagro Almagro 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
04.02.2023 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 0-1 HT 0-1 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
06.08.2022 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 3-0 HT 2-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
07.11.2021 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 1-0 HT 1-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Almagro vs Deportivo Moron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almagro saw off Deportivo Moron 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Moron at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Moron led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Almagro and 1.00 for Deportivo Moron.

What was the final score of Almagro vs Deportivo Moron?

Almagro 2-0 Deportivo Moron in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almagro vs Deportivo Moron?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Moron win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Almagro 24%, draw 28%, Deportivo Moron 48%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Moron) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Moron) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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