Atletico Atlanta 0-1 Ferro Carril Oeste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
38%
2.77
Away
20%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
Over
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.44
No
54%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
44%
4-5
15%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.9pp
38%
Draw
32%
+5.5pp
20%
Away Win
23%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
37%
+9.2pp
54%
BTTS No
63%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Atlanta The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste The Market 27%
+8% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.30/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.15
+10% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Atlanta
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
23.08.2025 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 2-1 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
23.04.2025 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
24.09.2023 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 1-1 HT 1-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
14.05.2023 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
15.06.2022 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
08.12.2020 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 0-3 HT 0-2 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Atletico Atlanta vs Ferro Carril Oeste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferro Carril Oeste nicked a narrow win over Atletico Atlanta 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (43% / 38% / 20%) promised a tight game; Ferro Carril Oeste found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Atlanta had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atletico Atlanta and 0.83 for Ferro Carril Oeste.

What was the final score of Atletico Atlanta vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Atletico Atlanta 0-1 Ferro Carril Oeste in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Atlanta vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Atlanta win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Atletico Atlanta 43%, draw 38%, Ferro Carril Oeste 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Atlanta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Atlanta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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