Atletico Atlanta 2-1 Ferro Carril Oeste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.02
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
Over
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.44
No
54%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
43%
4-5
20%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
49%
Home Win
45%
+3.8pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.8pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
37%
+9.2pp
54%
BTTS No
63%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Atlanta The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste The Market 27%
+4% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -6%
1.21/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.31
+2% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Atlanta
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
23.04.2025 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
24.09.2023 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 1-1 HT 1-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
14.05.2023 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
15.06.2022 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
08.12.2020 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 0-3 HT 0-2 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
23.02.2020 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 2-1 HT 2-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Atletico Atlanta vs Ferro Carril Oeste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Atlanta squeezed past Ferro Carril Oeste 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Atlanta as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Atlanta had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atletico Atlanta and 0.83 for Ferro Carril Oeste.

What was the final score of Atletico Atlanta vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Atletico Atlanta 2-1 Ferro Carril Oeste in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Atlanta vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Atlanta win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Atletico Atlanta 49%, draw 29%, Ferro Carril Oeste 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Atlanta) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Atlanta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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