Quilmes 2-0 San Miguel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
27%
2.66
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
Over
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.6
No
56%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
46%
4-5
15%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
23%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.4pp
27%
Draw
34%
-7.3pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+5.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
34%
+9.2pp
56%
BTTS No
66%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quilmes The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY San Miguel The Market 36%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.05/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/0.79
+3% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quilmes
0W-2D-1L
AWAY San Miguel
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
19.04.2025 San Miguel San Miguel 2-2 HT 2-1 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
27.10.2024 Quilmes Quilmes 1-1 HT 1-1 San Miguel San Miguel ARJPBN
08.06.2024 San Miguel San Miguel 1-0 HT 0-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Quilmes vs San Miguel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quilmes beat San Miguel 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Quilmes made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, San Miguel led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Quilmes and 1.33 for San Miguel.

What was the final score of Quilmes vs San Miguel?

Quilmes 2-0 San Miguel in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quilmes vs San Miguel?

Before kick-off our model rated an San Miguel win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Quilmes 36%, draw 27%, San Miguel 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (San Miguel) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Miguel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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