San Miguel 2-2 Quilmes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
Over 2.5
29%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.29
No
67%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.2pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.4pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.7pp
33%
BTTS Yes
40%
-7.0pp
67%
BTTS No
60%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Miguel EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Quilmes EU Bookmakers 29%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.31/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.91
+17% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Miguel
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Quilmes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
27.10.2024 Quilmes Quilmes 1-1 HT 1-1 San Miguel San Miguel ARJPBN
08.06.2024 San Miguel San Miguel 1-0 HT 0-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Miguel vs Quilmes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Miguel and Quilmes shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 28%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, San Miguel had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for San Miguel and 0.50 for Quilmes.

What was the final score of San Miguel vs Quilmes?

San Miguel 2-2 Quilmes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Miguel vs Quilmes?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Miguel win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split San Miguel 40%, draw 32%, Quilmes 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (San Miguel) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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