Tristan Suarez 2-1 Alvarado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
22%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.9pp
34%
Draw
29%
+4.9pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-1.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.7pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tristan Suarez EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvarado EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +10%
1.27/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.12
-1% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 4.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tristan Suarez
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Alvarado
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
20.07.2024 Alvarado Alvarado 1-2 HT 1-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
02.03.2024 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 2-2 HT 1-1 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
05.03.2022 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 3-3 HT 1-0 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Tristan Suarez vs Alvarado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tristan Suarez squeezed past Alvarado 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tristan Suarez as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tristan Suarez had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Tristan Suarez and 2.00 for Alvarado.

What was the final score of Tristan Suarez vs Alvarado?

Tristan Suarez 2-1 Alvarado in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tristan Suarez vs Alvarado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tristan Suarez win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tristan Suarez 44%, draw 34%, Alvarado 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tristan Suarez) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tristan Suarez) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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