Club Atletico Guemes 1-0 Arsenal Sarandi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
16%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.75
No
67%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
57%
+1.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
16%
Away Win
15%
+0.8pp
33%
BTTS Yes
32%
+0.4pp
67%
BTTS No
68%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Atletico Guemes EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Sarandi EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -14%
1.31/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.29/1.53
-2% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
250 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Atletico Guemes
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Arsenal Sarandi
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 9
7 Corners 4
23.06.2024 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 0-1 HT 0-1 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi ARJPBN
04.02.2024 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 1-1 HT 0-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Club Atletico Guemes vs Arsenal Sarandi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Atletico Guemes squeezed past Arsenal Sarandi 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Club Atletico Guemes as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (67%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Arsenal Sarandi led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Club Atletico Guemes and 1.00 for Arsenal Sarandi.

What was the final score of Club Atletico Guemes vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Club Atletico Guemes 1-0 Arsenal Sarandi in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Atletico Guemes vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Atletico Guemes win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Club Atletico Guemes 58%, draw 26%, Arsenal Sarandi 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Atletico Guemes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club Atletico Guemes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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