Alvarado 0-0 Tristan Suarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
31%
2.77
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
Over
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
40%
4-5
16%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.8pp
31%
Draw
33%
-1.8pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.7pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvarado The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Tristan Suarez The Market 33%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -14%
0.90/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.31
-12% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alvarado
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Tristan Suarez
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
19.04.2025 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 2-1 HT 2-0 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
20.07.2024 Alvarado Alvarado 1-2 HT 1-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
02.03.2024 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 2-2 HT 1-1 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
05.03.2022 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 3-3 HT 1-0 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Alvarado vs Tristan Suarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alvarado and Tristan Suarez played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Tristan Suarez led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Alvarado and 2.25 for Tristan Suarez.

What was the final score of Alvarado vs Tristan Suarez?

Alvarado 0-0 Tristan Suarez in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvarado vs Tristan Suarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alvarado win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Alvarado 40%, draw 31%, Tristan Suarez 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alvarado) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alvarado) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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