Arsenal Sarandi 2-1 Club Atletico Guemes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
25%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
Over
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.16
No
50%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
44%
4-5
18%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.0pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.7pp
25%
Away Win
29%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.4pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Sarandi The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Atletico Guemes The Market 32%
-5% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -12%
0.89/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.07
-20% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
250 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Sarandi
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Club Atletico Guemes
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Corners 7
19.04.2025 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 1-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi ARJPBN
23.06.2024 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 0-1 HT 0-1 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi ARJPBN
04.02.2024 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 1-1 HT 0-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Arsenal Sarandi vs Club Atletico Guemes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Sarandi nicked a narrow win over Club Atletico Guemes 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arsenal Sarandi as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Arsenal Sarandi and 0.67 for Club Atletico Guemes.

What was the final score of Arsenal Sarandi vs Club Atletico Guemes?

Arsenal Sarandi 2-1 Club Atletico Guemes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Sarandi vs Club Atletico Guemes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal Sarandi win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Sarandi 42%, draw 33%, Club Atletico Guemes 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal Sarandi) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal Sarandi) ✗ Under 2.5
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