Saint-Étienne (K) 2-1 Lens (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
21%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+2.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.6pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint-Étienne (K) EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Lens (K) EU Bookmakers 38%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.11/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/2.02
-20% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -43%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
17.8 Crosses 19.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saint-Étienne (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lens (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.72 xG 0.98
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 7
305 Passes 181
77% Pass Accuracy 64%
23 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.12.2025 Lens (K) Lens (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saint-Étienne (K)
2-1
AWAY Lens (K)
1.63 xG 0.59
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 0
165 Passes 246
59% Pass Accuracy 72%
13 Box Touches 12
14 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Saint-Étienne (K) vs Lens (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saint-Étienne (K) edged past Lens (K) 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Saint-Étienne (K) made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Saint-Étienne (K) had 45% of the ball to Lens (K)'s 55%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.63 to 0.59.

What was the final score of Saint-Étienne (K) vs Lens (K)?

Saint-Étienne (K) 2-1 Lens (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint-Étienne (K) vs Lens (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lens (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Saint-Étienne (K) 36%, draw 28%, Lens (K) 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lens (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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