Machida Zelvia 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
55%
-2.7pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.0pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.2pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +19%
1.64/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.83
-11% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +89% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
21.0 Crosses 13.4
1.1 Yellow Cards 0.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Machida Zelvia
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
1.40 xG 1.99
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
235 Passes 379
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 32
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2025 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 5-3 HT 2-2 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
06.04.2025 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 2-2 HT 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
05.10.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 1-4 HT 1-2 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
07.04.2024 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 0-1 HT 0-1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Machida Zelvia
1-1
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
1.98 xG 1.76
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
361 Passes 432
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
38 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Machida Zelvia vs Kawasaki Frontale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Machida Zelvia and Kawasaki Frontale shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Machida Zelvia at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Machida Zelvia had 47% of the ball to Kawasaki Frontale's 53%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.98 to 1.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kawasaki Frontale led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Machida Zelvia and 2.75 for Kawasaki Frontale.

What was the final score of Machida Zelvia vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Machida Zelvia 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale in the Japan - J1 League on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Machida Zelvia vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Machida Zelvia 52%, draw 20%, Kawasaki Frontale 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Machida Zelvia), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Machida Zelvia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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