Granada 3-0 Osasuna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 28 Apr 2024

Granada
3-0 HT 1-0
Osasuna
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Granada vs Osasuna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.73
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.38
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
12%
4.86
X/2
14%
6.25
X/X
12%
3.74
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
9%
4.84
2/X
8%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.9pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.8pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.6pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Granada v Osasuna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Granada EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +4%
1.41/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.15
+19% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 72%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
18.4 Crosses 19.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5

Granada vs Osasuna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Granada
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Osasuna
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.77 xG 1.42
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
223 Passes 268
65% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.10.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 2-0 HT 1-0 Granada Granada İS1
23.01.2022 Granada Granada 0-2 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
22.10.2021 Osasuna Osasuna 1-1 HT 1-0 Granada Granada İS1
24.01.2021 Osasuna Osasuna 3-1 HT 2-0 Granada Granada İS1
12.01.2021 Granada Granada 2-0 HT 2-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
23.02.2020 Osasuna Osasuna 0-3 HT 0-3 Granada Granada İS1

Granada 3-0 Osasuna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Granada
3-0
AWAY Osasuna
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 6
258 Passes 476
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
POST-MATCH Granada vs Osasuna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Granada cruised past Osasuna 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Granada found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Granada had 37% of the ball to Osasuna's 63%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osasuna led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Granada and 1.33 for Osasuna.

What was the final score of Granada vs Osasuna?

Granada 3-0 Osasuna in the Spain - Primera Liga on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Granada vs Osasuna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Granada win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Granada 39%, draw 28%, Osasuna 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Granada), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Granada) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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