Real Betis 1-1 Sevilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 28 Apr 2024

Real Betis
1-1 HT 1-0
Sevilla
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Real Betis vs Sevilla Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.86
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.08
6+ Goals
9%
19.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 30% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.72
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.85
X/1
12%
4.3
X/2
10%
7.41
X/X
14%
4.31
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
13%
5.84
2/X
7%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-7.9pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.5pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Betis v Sevilla — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Betis EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.62/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.50
+19% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
17.6 Crosses 18.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7

Real Betis vs Sevilla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Betis
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sevilla
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.84 xG 1.04
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
277 Passes 345
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Sevilla Sevilla 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
03.08.2023 Sevilla Sevilla 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis HAZ
21.05.2023 Sevilla Sevilla 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
06.11.2022 Real Betis Real Betis 1-1 HT 1-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
27.02.2022 Sevilla Sevilla 2-1 HT 2-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
16.01.2022 Real Betis Real Betis 2-1 HT 1-1 Sevilla Sevilla İSPK

Real Betis 1-1 Sevilla — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Betis
1-1
AWAY Sevilla
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
334 Passes 318
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
POST-MATCH Real Betis vs Sevilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Betis and Sevilla couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Real Betis had 51% of the ball to Sevilla's 49%, shots finished 15-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sevilla led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Real Betis and 1.00 for Sevilla.

What was the final score of Real Betis vs Sevilla?

Real Betis 1-1 Sevilla in the Spain - Primera Liga on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Betis vs Sevilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Betis win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Real Betis 40%, draw 30%, Sevilla 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Betis), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Betis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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