Mönchengladbach 0-0 Union Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 28 Apr 2024

Mönchengladbach
0-0 HT 0-0
Union Berlin
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Mönchengladbach vs Union Berlin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.28
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.59
6+ Goals
10%
14.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 26% vs market 24.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.4
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
14%
5.16
X/2
10%
5.87
X/X
13%
4.6
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
16%
4.08
2/X
6%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.7pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mönchengladbach v Union Berlin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mönchengladbach EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Berlin EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.77/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.26
+24% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 72%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
19.0 Crosses 21.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Mönchengladbach vs Union Berlin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mönchengladbach
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Union Berlin
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.16 xG 1.35
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
510 Passes 306
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.12.2023 Union Berlin Union Berlin 3-1 HT 1-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
23.04.2023 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
30.10.2022 Union Berlin Union Berlin 2-1 HT 0-1 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
22.01.2022 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 1-2 HT 1-1 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
29.08.2021 Union Berlin Union Berlin 2-1 HT 2-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
30.01.2021 Union Berlin Union Berlin 1-1 HT 1-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1

Mönchengladbach 0-0 Union Berlin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mönchengladbach
0-0
AWAY Union Berlin
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
409 Passes 401
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
POST-MATCH Mönchengladbach vs Union Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mönchengladbach and Union Berlin fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Mönchengladbach at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Mönchengladbach had 51% of the ball to Union Berlin's 49%, shots finished 13-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Berlin led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mönchengladbach and 1.83 for Union Berlin.

What was the final score of Mönchengladbach vs Union Berlin?

Mönchengladbach 0-0 Union Berlin in the Germany - Bundesliga on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mönchengladbach vs Union Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mönchengladbach win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mönchengladbach 41%, draw 27%, Union Berlin 32%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mönchengladbach) ✗ BTTS Yes
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