RKC Waalwijk 2-2 Utrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 28 Apr 2024

RKC Waalwijk
2-2 HT 1-0
Utrecht
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2023/2024

RKC Waalwijk vs Utrecht Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.69
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 27% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.7
1/2
6%
24.0
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
10%
6.69
X/2
17%
4.67
X/X
17%
5.09
2/1
9%
32.5
2/2
14%
2.86
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.3pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.9pp
37%
Away Win
45%
-8.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RKC Waalwijk v Utrecht — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht EU Bookmakers 49%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.26/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.23
-18% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
325 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 78%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
17.9 Crosses 20.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

RKC Waalwijk vs Utrecht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RKC Waalwijk
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Utrecht
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.25 xG 1.94
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
304 Passes 386
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Utrecht Utrecht 1-1 HT 1-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
31.10.2023 Utrecht Utrecht 3-2 HT 3-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOK
13.05.2023 Utrecht Utrecht 2-0 HT 0-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
06.08.2022 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 2-2 HT 2-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
02.04.2022 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-1 HT 0-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
18.09.2021 Utrecht Utrecht 2-2 HT 1-2 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL

RKC Waalwijk 2-2 Utrecht — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RKC Waalwijk
2-2
AWAY Utrecht
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
239 Passes 434
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
POST-MATCH RKC Waalwijk vs Utrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RKC Waalwijk and Utrecht couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, RKC Waalwijk had 38% of the ball to Utrecht's 62%, shots finished 9-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utrecht led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for RKC Waalwijk and 1.83 for Utrecht.

What was the final score of RKC Waalwijk vs Utrecht?

RKC Waalwijk 2-2 Utrecht in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RKC Waalwijk vs Utrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated an Utrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split RKC Waalwijk 33%, draw 31%, Utrecht 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Utrecht), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Utrecht) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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