INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 4-1 Mynavi Sendai (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.27
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) win — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
75%
-9.3pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.0pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+6.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.4pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Mynavi Sendai (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.50/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.50
+9% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
446 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) vs Mynavi Sendai (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) cruised past Mynavi Sendai (K) 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) vs Mynavi Sendai (K)?

INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 4-1 Mynavi Sendai (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) vs Mynavi Sendai (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 66%, draw 21%, Mynavi Sendai (K) 13%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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