Portimonense 0-2 Moreirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
41%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.8
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.18
6+ Goals
8%
20.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.85
1/2
9%
32.0
1/X
9%
13.1
X/1
11%
5.45
X/2
16%
5.51
X/X
11%
4.06
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
16%
3.92
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.0pp
41%
Away Win
34%
+6.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreirense EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.27/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.84
-17% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +139%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
19.5 Crosses 19.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Moreirense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.13 xG 1.39
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
341 Passes 244
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.12.2023 Moreirense Moreirense 5-2 HT 2-1 Portimonense Portimonense POR
23.04.2022 Portimonense Portimonense 1-0 HT 1-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
12.12.2021 Moreirense Moreirense 0-1 HT 0-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR
10.05.2021 Portimonense Portimonense 1-2 HT 1-1 Moreirense Moreirense POR
24.01.2021 Moreirense Moreirense 2-2 HT 2-1 Portimonense Portimonense POR
15.02.2020 Portimonense Portimonense 1-1 HT 1-1 Moreirense Moreirense POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense
0-2
AWAY Moreirense
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
311 Passes 211
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
POST-MATCH Portimonense vs Moreirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreirense got the better of Portimonense 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Moreirense as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Portimonense had 58% of the ball to Moreirense's 42%, shots finished 10-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Portimonense and 1.67 for Moreirense.

What was the final score of Portimonense vs Moreirense?

Portimonense 0-2 Moreirense in the Portugal - Premier League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense vs Moreirense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Moreirense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Portimonense 33%, draw 26%, Moreirense 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moreirense), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Moreirense) ✓ Under 2.5
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