Göteborg 1-1 GAIS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒20:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.67
Over
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2.79
2-3
38%
1.81
4-5
18%
4.39
6+
9%
21.9
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.79 — our 35% vs market 30.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.6
1/2
11%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1
17%
5.24
X/2
12%
5.98
X/X
12%
4.22
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
14%
4.41
2/X
8%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.2pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.5pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göteborg EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY GAIS EU Bookmakers 36%
-15% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.20/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.27
-31% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 80%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
22.8 Crosses 20.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göteborg
1W-2D-3L
AWAY GAIS
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.07 xG 1.80
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
361 Passes 256
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 26
24 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2024 Göteborg Göteborg 2-0 HT 1-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
06.05.2024 GAIS GAIS 2-1 HT 1-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
26.02.2023 GAIS GAIS 2-1 HT 0-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇK
24.09.2012 Göteborg Göteborg 0-0 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
21.05.2012 GAIS GAIS 1-1 HT 1-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
17.10.2011 GAIS GAIS 1-0 HT 0-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göteborg
1-1
AWAY GAIS
0.99 xG 0.95
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
443 Passes 219
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
32 Box Touches 28
30 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Göteborg vs GAIS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göteborg and GAIS shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Göteborg had 64% of the ball to GAIS's 36%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.99 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, GAIS led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Göteborg and 1.00 for GAIS.

What was the final score of Göteborg vs GAIS?

Göteborg 1-1 GAIS in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göteborg vs GAIS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Göteborg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Göteborg 38%, draw 25%, GAIS 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Göteborg), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Göteborg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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