Fram Reykjavik 3-0 Afturelding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.0pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Afturelding EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+4% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.2 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fram Reykjavik
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Afturelding
3.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.02.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 3-4 HT 1-3 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZLK
18.09.2021 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 6-1 HT 4-1 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
09.07.2021 Afturelding Afturelding 0-2 HT 0-1 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL1
29.08.2020 Afturelding Afturelding 1-2 HT 1-1 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL1
12.03.2014 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 3-1 HT 1-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fram Reykjavik
3-0
AWAY Afturelding
1.42 xG 1.77
34% Ball Possession 66%
13 Total Shots 29
7 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 9
224 Passes 519
75% Pass Accuracy 89%
28 Box Touches 45
19 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fram Reykjavik vs Afturelding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fram Reykjavik swept aside Afturelding 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fram Reykjavik as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Fram Reykjavik had 34% of the ball to Afturelding's 66%, shots finished 13-29, expected goals 1.42 to 1.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fram Reykjavik had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.40 goals for Fram Reykjavik and 1.20 for Afturelding.

What was the final score of Fram Reykjavik vs Afturelding?

Fram Reykjavik 3-0 Afturelding in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fram Reykjavik vs Afturelding?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fram Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Fram Reykjavik 46%, draw 23%, Afturelding 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fram Reykjavik), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fram Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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