Valur 1-1 Vikingur R. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.41
No
40%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
67%
-6.5pp
40%
BTTS No
33%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valur EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Vikingur R. EU Bookmakers 38%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +23%
2.27/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.35
-1% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
21.0 Crosses 19.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valur
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Vikingur R.
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.54 xG 2.58
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
370 Passes 339
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.09.2024 Valur Valur 2-3 HT 1-1 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
01.09.2024 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 3-2 HT 0-2 Valur Valur İZL
18.06.2024 Valur Valur 2-2 HT 0-1 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
01.04.2024 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 1-1 HT 1-1 Valur Valur İZSK
07.10.2023 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 5-1 HT 1-1 Valur Valur İZL
20.08.2023 Valur Valur 0-4 HT 0-2 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valur
1-1
AWAY Vikingur R.
1.60 xG 1.24
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
391 Passes 307
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Valur vs Vikingur R.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur and Vikingur R. shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Valur had 55% of the ball to Vikingur R.'s 45%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.60 to 1.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vikingur R. led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Valur and 3.00 for Vikingur R..

What was the final score of Valur vs Vikingur R.?

Valur 1-1 Vikingur R. in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valur vs Vikingur R.?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Valur 36%, draw 28%, Vikingur R. 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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