Stjarnan 2-3 İB Vestmannaeyjar — Result, Stats & Model Review (Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 28 Apr 2025)

Stjarnan

2-3 HT 1-2

İB Vestmannaeyjar

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3

Top 2 Score Predictions

1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗

Iceland - Urvalsdeild – 2025

Stjarnan vs İB Vestmannaeyjar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions

Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend

⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.

Match Result

Home

57%

1.9

Draw

19%

3.72

Away

24%

3.15

Under/Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40%

Over 2.5

60%

Both Teams to Score

Yes

55%

1.46

45%

2.51

Total Goals

0-1 Goal

19%

2-3 Goals

40%

4-5 Goals

27%

6+ Goals

14%

Half Time / Full Time

1/1

27%

1/2

1/X

X/1

20%

X/2

X/X

2/1

10%

2/2

10%

2/X

PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine

Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline

✋

Decision

No Bet — Skip This Match

The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.

💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.

Model vs Market — where we differ

iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers

57%

Home Win

48%

+8.0pp

19%

Draw

23%

-4.0pp

24%

Away Win

28%

-4.0pp

55%

BTTS Yes

64%

-9.7pp

45%

BTTS No

36%

+9.7pp

gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stjarnan v İB Vestmannaeyjar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine

iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals

HOME Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 53%

Head to Head

AWAY İB Vestmannaeyjar EU Bookmakers 32%

+13% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%

2.38/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.68

+13% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -2%

51% Ball Possession 49%

14 Total Shots 12

6 Shots on Target 6

6 Corners 5

322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%

30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1

13.9 Crosses 22.0

2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2

Stjarnan vs İB Vestmannaeyjar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings

Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings

HOME Stjarnan

5W-0D-1L

AWAY İB Vestmannaeyjar

2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83

2.49 xG 0.37

52% Ball Possession 48%

14 Total Shots 10

7 Shots on Target 1

8 Corners 6

266 Passes 272

75% Pass Accuracy 72%

28 Box Touches 17

6 Crosses 20

1 Yellow Cards 4

The Meetings

08.02.2025 Stjarnan

3-2

İB Vestmannaeyjar İZLK

05.08.2023 İB Vestmannaeyjar

0-2 HT 0-0

Stjarnan İZL

13.05.2023 Stjarnan

4-0 HT 1-0

İB Vestmannaeyjar İZL

19.04.2023 Stjarnan

1-0 HT 0-0

İB Vestmannaeyjar İZK

28.08.2022 İB Vestmannaeyjar

3-1 HT 2-1

Stjarnan İZL

29.05.2022 Stjarnan

1-0 HT 0-0

İB Vestmannaeyjar İZL

Stjarnan 2-3 İB Vestmannaeyjar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result

Real recorded figures from this match

HOME Stjarnan

2-3

AWAY İB Vestmannaeyjar

1.90 xG 1.48

65% Ball Possession 35%

19 Total Shots 18

4 Shots on Target 9

9 Corners 5

452 Passes 215

85% Pass Accuracy 77%

40 Box Touches 22

28 Crosses 16

1 Yellow Cards 1

POST-MATCH Stjarnan vs İB Vestmannaeyjar

iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İB Vestmannaeyjar nicked a narrow win over Stjarnan 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Stjarnan carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stjarnan had 65% of the ball to İB Vestmannaeyjar's 35%, shots finished 19-18, expected goals 1.90 to 1.48 — on chances, Stjarnan could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stjarnan had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Stjarnan and 0.83 for İB Vestmannaeyjar.

What was the final score of Stjarnan vs İB Vestmannaeyjar?

Stjarnan 2-3 İB Vestmannaeyjar in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stjarnan vs İB Vestmannaeyjar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stjarnan win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Stjarnan 57%, draw 19%, İB Vestmannaeyjar 24%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stjarnan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stjarnan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes

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