Huachipato 2-1 Union Espanola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.91
Over
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No Pick
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
41%
4-5
21%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.1pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.8pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.6pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huachipato EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -9%
1.28/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.51
+9% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
22.8 Crosses 20.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huachipato
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Union Espanola
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.34 xG 1.42
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
298 Passes 302
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Union Espanola Union Espanola 3-1 HT 1-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
11.05.2024 Huachipato Huachipato 2-2 HT 1-1 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
13.08.2023 Union Espanola Union Espanola 0-1 HT 0-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
06.04.2023 Huachipato Huachipato 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
30.07.2022 Huachipato Huachipato 2-5 HT 1-3 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
06.03.2022 Union Espanola Union Espanola 1-0 HT 0-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huachipato
2-1
AWAY Union Espanola
1.11 xG 2.18
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 10
214 Passes 413
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 35
16 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Huachipato vs Union Espanola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Huachipato nicked a narrow win over Union Espanola 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Huachipato as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Huachipato had 37% of the ball to Union Espanola's 63%, shots finished 9-22, expected goals 1.11 to 2.18 — the balance of chances actually favoured Union Espanola.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Espanola led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Huachipato and 1.83 for Union Espanola.

What was the final score of Huachipato vs Union Espanola?

Huachipato 2-1 Union Espanola in the Chile - Premier League on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huachipato vs Union Espanola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Huachipato win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Huachipato 46%, draw 22%, Union Espanola 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Huachipato) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Huachipato) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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