Union Espanola 3-1 Huachipato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Huachipato EU Bookmakers 24%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.71/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.43
+8% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
21.7 Crosses 18.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Espanola
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Huachipato
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.08 xG 1.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
276 Passes 316
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 27
21 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 4
11.05.2024 Huachipato Huachipato 2-2 HT 1-1 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
13.08.2023 Union Espanola Union Espanola 0-1 HT 0-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
06.04.2023 Huachipato Huachipato 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
30.07.2022 Huachipato Huachipato 2-5 HT 1-3 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
06.03.2022 Union Espanola Union Espanola 1-0 HT 0-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
04.11.2021 Huachipato Huachipato 1-0 HT 1-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Espanola
3-1
AWAY Huachipato
2.46 xG 1.13
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
488 Passes 197
83% Pass Accuracy 68%
27 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Union Espanola vs Huachipato
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Espanola saw off Huachipato 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Union Espanola as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Union Espanola had 66% of the ball to Huachipato's 34%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 2.46 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Huachipato led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Union Espanola and 1.17 for Huachipato.

What was the final score of Union Espanola vs Huachipato?

Union Espanola 3-1 Huachipato in the Chile - Premier League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Espanola vs Huachipato?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Espanola win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Union Espanola 51%, draw 24%, Huachipato 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Espanola), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Espanola) ✓ Over 2.5
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