Nublense 2-0 Deportes Iquique — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-7.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nublense EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Iquique EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.29/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.62
-2% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
18.0 Crosses 17.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nublense
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Deportes Iquique
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.40 xG 2.68
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
263 Passes 402
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 4
13.05.2024 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 2-1 HT 1-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
02.11.2014 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 1-1 HT 0-1 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
30.03.2014 Nublense Nublense 3-0 HT 1-0 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
03.11.2013 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 4-1 HT 1-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nublense
2-0
AWAY Deportes Iquique
2.14 xG 3.20
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 26
5 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 6
210 Passes 242
68% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 38
15 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nublense vs Deportes Iquique
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nublense got the better of Deportes Iquique 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Nublense made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Nublense had 46% of the ball to Deportes Iquique's 54%, shots finished 13-26, expected goals 2.14 to 3.20 — the balance of chances actually favoured Deportes Iquique.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Deportes Iquique led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nublense and 1.75 for Deportes Iquique.

What was the final score of Nublense vs Deportes Iquique?

Nublense 2-0 Deportes Iquique in the Chile - Premier League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nublense vs Deportes Iquique?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nublense win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nublense 40%, draw 29%, Deportes Iquique 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nublense) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nublense) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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