O Higgins 0-2 U. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.6pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.8pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME O Higgins EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 39%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +15%
1.21/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.48
-27% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
255 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 72%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
20.2 Crosses 16.7
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME O Higgins
2W-1D-3L
AWAY U. Catolica
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.91 xG 1.25
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
214 Passes 305
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 3
12.05.2024 U. Catolica 3-2 HT 3-1 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
07.10.2023 O Higgins O Higgins 0-3 HT 0-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
23.04.2023 U. Catolica 0-1 HT 0-1 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
12.08.2022 U. Catolica 2-2 HT 1-1 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
20.03.2022 O Higgins O Higgins 2-1 HT 2-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
01.11.2021 O Higgins O Higgins 1-3 HT 1-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME O Higgins
0-2
AWAY U. Catolica
2.20 xG 0.88
44% Ball Possession 56%
18 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 3
253 Passes 361
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
38 Box Touches 18
30 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH O Higgins vs U. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

U. Catolica got the better of O Higgins 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day U. Catolica made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, O Higgins had 44% of the ball to U. Catolica's 56%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 2.20 to 0.88 — the balance of chances actually favoured O Higgins.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, U. Catolica led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for O Higgins and 2.00 for U. Catolica.

What was the final score of O Higgins vs U. Catolica?

O Higgins 0-2 U. Catolica in the Chile - Premier League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for O Higgins vs U. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated a O Higgins win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split O Higgins 36%, draw 31%, U. Catolica 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (O Higgins) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (O Higgins) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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