Inter Miami 3-4 FC Dallas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 28 Apr 2025

Inter Miami
3-4 HT 2-1
FC Dallas
📅28/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2025

Inter Miami vs FC Dallas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.01
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.59
6+ Goals
12%
14.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.59 — our 26% vs market 21.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.14
1/2
5%
33.5
1/X
8%
13.55
X/1
8%
4.97
X/2
11%
6.55
X/X
11%
4.66
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
26.5
2/2
18%
4.8
2/X
6%
14.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.5pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Inter Miami v FC Dallas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Dallas EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.52/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.49
+34% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
14.5 Crosses 13.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

Inter Miami vs FC Dallas Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Miami
0W-2D-2L
AWAY FC Dallas
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.35 xG 1.84
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
446 Passes 330
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.08.2023 FC Dallas FC Dallas 4-4 HT 2-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami CONLK
09.04.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
05.07.2022 FC Dallas FC Dallas 1-1 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
29.10.2020 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-1 HT 0-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD

Inter Miami 3-4 FC Dallas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Miami
3-4
AWAY FC Dallas
1.69 xG 2.20
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 3
398 Passes 343
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Inter Miami vs FC Dallas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Dallas edged past Inter Miami 4-3 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Inter Miami at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Inter Miami had 54% of the ball to FC Dallas's 46%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.69 to 2.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, FC Dallas led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Inter Miami and 2.00 for FC Dallas.

What was the final score of Inter Miami vs FC Dallas?

Inter Miami 3-4 FC Dallas in the USA - Major League on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Miami vs FC Dallas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Inter Miami 41%, draw 25%, FC Dallas 34%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter Miami) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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