Los Angeles Galaxy 2-4 Portland Timbers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.73
2-3 Goals
37%
1.92
4-5 Goals
25%
2.68
6+ Goals
13%
6.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.75
1/2
9%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
17%
5.21
X/2
7%
7.41
X/X
13%
5.87
2/1
6%
21.35
2/2
16%
4.74
2/X
5%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.2pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Portland Timbers EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.69/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.85
+15% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
388 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 82%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
15.8 Crosses 14.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Portland Timbers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.33 xG 1.41
57% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
472 Passes 345
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2025 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 1-1 HT 0-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
19.09.2024 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 4-2 HT 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
21.07.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 3-2 HT 1-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
01.10.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 3-3 HT 3-2 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
25.03.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 0-0 HT 0-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
19.06.2022 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 1-1 HT 0-1 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy
2-4
AWAY Portland Timbers
2.41 xG 2.16
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
438 Passes 375
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
42 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portland Timbers saw off Los Angeles Galaxy 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Los Angeles Galaxy at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Los Angeles Galaxy had 54% of the ball to Portland Timbers's 46%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.41 to 2.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Los Angeles Galaxy and 1.83 for Portland Timbers.

What was the final score of Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers?

Los Angeles Galaxy 2-4 Portland Timbers in the USA - Major League on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles Galaxy 44%, draw 24%, Portland Timbers 32%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Los Angeles Galaxy) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Los Angeles Galaxy) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
28 Apr 2025
00:00 Inter Miami vs FC Dallas Analysis →
02:00 Los Angeles FC vs St. Louis City Analysis →