Los Angeles Galaxy 3-2 Portland Timbers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒05:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.96
Over 2.5
66%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.35
No
37%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
7.01
2-3 Goals
35%
2.19
4-5 Goals
30%
2.46
6+ Goals
20%
4.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.1pp
34%
Under 2.5
30%
+3.9pp
66%
Over 2.5
70%
-3.9pp
63%
BTTS Yes
70%
-6.9pp
37%
BTTS No
30%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Portland Timbers EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.80/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.87
+24% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
376 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 81%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
17.4 Crosses 14.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Portland Timbers
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.77 xG 0.97
57% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
429 Passes 302
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 3-3 HT 3-2 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
25.03.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 0-0 HT 0-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
19.06.2022 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 1-1 HT 0-1 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
03.04.2022 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 1-3 HT 0-2 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
17.10.2021 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1 HT 0-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
31.07.2021 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 4-1 HT 2-1 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy
3-2
AWAY Portland Timbers
1.75 xG 1.16
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
523 Passes 472
88% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 31
5 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles Galaxy squeezed past Portland Timbers 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Los Angeles Galaxy as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Los Angeles Galaxy had 52% of the ball to Portland Timbers's 48%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 1.75 to 1.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles Galaxy had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Los Angeles Galaxy and 1.17 for Portland Timbers.

What was the final score of Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers?

Los Angeles Galaxy 3-2 Portland Timbers in the USA - Major League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles Galaxy 46%, draw 23%, Portland Timbers 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles Galaxy), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Los Angeles Galaxy) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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