Portland Timbers 1-1 Los Angeles Galaxy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒23:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.43
Over 2.5
59%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.87
2-3 Goals
37%
1.92
4-5 Goals
28%
2.59
6+ Goals
13%
6.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.78
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
27.5
1/X
5%
12.2
X/1
8%
5.29
X/2
12%
7.23
X/X
14%
5.79
2/1
7%
21.1
2/2
15%
4.51
2/X
7%
12.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.5 — our 8% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.5pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portland Timbers EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.62/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.56
+21% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
374 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 83%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
18.4 Crosses 15.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portland Timbers
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.47 xG 1.46
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
327 Passes 449
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
28 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.09.2024 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 4-2 HT 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
21.07.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 3-2 HT 1-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
01.10.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 3-3 HT 3-2 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
25.03.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 0-0 HT 0-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
19.06.2022 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 1-1 HT 0-1 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
03.04.2022 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 1-3 HT 0-2 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portland Timbers
1-1
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy
0.72 xG 0.72
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
465 Passes 522
88% Pass Accuracy 88%
21 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles Galaxy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portland Timbers and Los Angeles Galaxy couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Portland Timbers had 47% of the ball to Los Angeles Galaxy's 53%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.72 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles Galaxy led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Portland Timbers and 2.00 for Los Angeles Galaxy.

What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Portland Timbers 1-1 Los Angeles Galaxy in the USA - Major League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portland Timbers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Portland Timbers 39%, draw 26%, Los Angeles Galaxy 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Portland Timbers), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portland Timbers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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