Los Angeles FC vs St. Louis City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Los Angeles FC v St. Louis City — Team-Based Signals
Los Angeles FC vs St. Louis City Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Los Angeles FC
ABD
3-0
HT 0-0
St. Louis City
ABD
Los Angeles FC 2-2 St. Louis City — Actual Match Statistics
Los Angeles FC and St. Louis City couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Los Angeles FC at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Los Angeles FC had 70% of the ball to St. Louis City's 30%, shots finished 23-11, expected goals 3.79 to 1.53.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Los Angeles FC and 0.00 for St. Louis City.
What was the final score of Los Angeles FC vs St. Louis City?
Los Angeles FC 2-2 St. Louis City in the USA - Major League on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Los Angeles FC vs St. Louis City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles FC 52%, draw 25%, St. Louis City 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Los Angeles FC), BTTS No went the other way.