Los Angeles FC vs St. Louis City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Los Angeles FC v St. Louis City — Team-Based Signals
Los Angeles FC vs St. Louis City Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Los Angeles FC
ABD
3-0
HT 0-0
St. Louis City
ABD
Los Angeles FC 1-0 St. Louis City — Actual Match Statistics
Los Angeles FC edged past St. Louis City 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Los Angeles FC as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Los Angeles FC had 44% of the ball to St. Louis City's 56%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 2.25 to 0.45 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Los Angeles FC's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Los Angeles FC and 0.00 for St. Louis City.
What was the final score of Los Angeles FC vs St. Louis City?
Los Angeles FC 1-0 St. Louis City in the USA - Major League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Los Angeles FC vs St. Louis City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles FC 54%, draw 23%, St. Louis City 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.